Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Charleroi
25.9%
Draw
59.4%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Charleroi
vs
1.57
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).