Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Lyon
21.8%
Draw
28.5%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Lyon
vs
1.40
Rennes
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).