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13 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Bradford
25.5%
Draw
33.0%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Bradford

vs
1.18

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).