Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Brescia
28.9%
Draw
21.1%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Brescia
vs
0.87
Avellino
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).