Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Lens
16.4%
Draw
8.3%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Lens
vs
0.57
Nantes
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).