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AHT: 13CSV

03 Oct 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Avellino
30.1%
Draw
32.5%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Avellino

vs
1.15

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).