Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Vitória Guimarães
22.8%
Draw
58.6%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Vitória Guimarães
vs
1.96
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).