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01 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Yeovil
29.6%
Draw
40.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Yeovil

vs
1.30

Torquay

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).