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15 May 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.7%
Wolves
27.0%
Draw
12.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Wolves

vs
0.62

Norwich

Markets

BTTS38.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.7%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).