Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Le Mans
26.8%
Draw
19.5%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Le Mans
vs
0.65
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.3%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).