Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Leverkusen
25.2%
Draw
15.7%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Leverkusen
vs
0.78
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).