Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Scunthorpe
27.2%
Draw
48.1%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Scunthorpe
vs
1.32
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).