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AHT: 02CSV

26 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Braintree Town
32.7%
Draw
39.6%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Braintree Town

vs
1.12

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.5%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).