Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Kilmarnock
26.9%
Draw
44.1%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Kilmarnock
vs
1.52
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).