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DHT: 11CSV

21 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Guingamp
21.4%
Draw
30.1%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Guingamp

vs
1.36

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).