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28 Sept 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.4%
Molde
18.9%
Draw
17.7%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Molde

vs
1.13

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).