Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Red Star
28.0%
Draw
32.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Red Star
vs
0.95
Lens
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).