Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Estoril
21.9%
Draw
22.8%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Estoril
vs
1.34
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).