Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Eibar
35.9%
Draw
25.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Eibar
vs
0.65
Burgos
Markets
BTTS27.6%
Over 0.578.2%
Over 1.544.6%
Over 2.519.5%
Over 3.56.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.8%
1-0
19.2%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-2
4.0%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).