Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Sivasspor
30.9%
Draw
24.3%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sivasspor
vs
1.14
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).