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AHT: 01CSV

31 Jan 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Bordeaux
31.1%
Draw
39.5%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Bordeaux

vs
0.97

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS32.7%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.8%
0-0
16.2%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).