Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Hartlepool
21.6%
Draw
67.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Hartlepool
vs
2.00
Notts County
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).