⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 03CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
23.0%
Grimsby
22.7%
Draw
54.3%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Grimsby

vs
1.74

Stockport

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).