Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Lecce
24.4%
Draw
13.9%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Lecce
vs
0.75
Ternana
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).