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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.7%
Bury
18.3%
Draw
13.0%
Silsden

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Bury

vs
0.81

Silsden

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).