Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Watford
30.6%
Draw
32.0%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Watford
vs
1.09
Swansea
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).