Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Walsall
23.9%
Draw
19.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Walsall
vs
0.82
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).