Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Marseille
19.2%
Draw
27.7%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Marseille
vs
1.69
Rennes
Markets
BTTS73.6%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).