Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Mantova
30.6%
Draw
28.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Mantova
vs
1.04
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).