Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Monza
19.6%
Draw
8.8%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Monza
vs
0.64
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).