Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Morecambe
21.5%
Draw
49.2%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Morecambe
vs
1.77
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).