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05 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Queens Park Rangers
22.1%
Draw
55.9%
Man United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.84

Man United

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.4%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).