Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Schalke 04
30.0%
Draw
43.7%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Schalke 04
vs
1.31
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).