Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Amorebieta
32.6%
Draw
42.1%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Amorebieta
vs
1.03
Eibar
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.552.2%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.9%
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).