Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Charlton
33.3%
Draw
33.1%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Charlton
vs
0.98
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).