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15 May 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Annecy
34.1%
Draw
34.9%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Annecy

vs
0.80

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS27.8%
Over 0.579.6%
Over 1.544.5%
Over 2.520.1%
Over 3.57.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.4%
0-1
18.2%
1-0
16.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
3-0
1.4%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).