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04 May 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.5%
La Coruna
26.6%
Draw
25.9%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

La Coruna

vs
0.97

Albacete

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).