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11 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Bristol Rvs
23.9%
Draw
53.3%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.52

Stockport

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).