Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Paris SG
16.0%
Draw
10.8%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Paris SG
vs
0.75
Nantes
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).