Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Estoril
21.3%
Draw
53.3%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Estoril
vs
2.26
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-3
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).