Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Lech Poznań
22.5%
Draw
17.6%
Widzew Lodz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Lech Poznań
vs
1.04
Widzew Lodz
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).