Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Reading
19.3%
Draw
16.8%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Reading
vs
0.88
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).