Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Kayserispor
42.3%
Draw
35.4%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Kayserispor
vs
0.87
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.575.1%
Over 1.548.2%
Over 2.519.7%
Over 3.56.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.9%
0-1
15.9%
1-1
15.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
2-1
4.0%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
3-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).