Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.2%
Marseille
6.7%
Draw
3.1%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.67
Marseille
vs
0.63
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.580.3%
Over 3.562.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.2%
4-0
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
5-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
5-1
4.8%
1-1
3.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).