Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Cultural Leonesa
24.0%
Draw
51.0%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.67
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).