Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Lazio
30.3%
Draw
18.9%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Lazio
vs
0.61
Lecce
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
0-0
16.2%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).