Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Aldershot
21.1%
Draw
46.7%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Aldershot
vs
2.28
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS76.7%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.578.5%
Over 3.559.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-3
5.4%
3-2
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).