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12 Aug 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.2%
Bodrumspor
39.5%
Draw
32.3%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Bodrumspor

vs
0.94

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.8%
1-1
16.7%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).