Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Moreirense
26.4%
Draw
43.8%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Moreirense
vs
1.33
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).