Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Bolton
23.9%
Draw
30.6%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Bolton
vs
1.14
Oxford
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).